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Published on 2026-02-24 | 1 hour ago
XTB CEO Wants Spot Crypto to Slash CFD Revenue Dominance From 95% to 70%
Omar
Arnaout, chief executive of Polish retail broker XTB, says spot cryptocurrency
trading could reshape the company's revenue structure within two to three
years, but only if Poland gets out of the way.Speaking in
an interview with Polish
YouTube channel Comparic, Arnaout was unusually blunt about how lopsided
XTB's income currently is. "Around
95%, maybe even more, of revenues are generated from CFD instruments,"
he said, calling the situation a source of genuine frustration. His ambition:
bring that figure down to roughly 70%, with crypto and equities filling the
gap.That's not
a small shift. It would mean building an entirely new revenue stream from
scratch, one that doesn't yet exist for XTB in any meaningful form in its home
market.Poland's Crypto Deadlock
Is Costing XTB on the Stock MarketThe
obstacle isn't product development or client demand, it's regulation. Poland
remains one of the few EU member states that hasn't implemented MiCA, the
bloc's digital asset framework, leaving XTB unable to offer spot cryptocurrency
trading to Polish clients through a domestic license.Arnaout
didn't hide his feelings about it. He said the situation "really hurts,”
not just because of the revenue opportunity being missed, but because of what
it means for XTB's valuation. "I'm convinced we would have a completely
different valuation on the stock exchange if we had greater revenue
diversification," he said.That's a
pointed comment from a CEO whose company trades on the Warsaw Stock Exchange.
XTB shares hit an all-time high of nearly 92 PLN last month despite a weaker
earnings quarter, driven largely by record client growth. But Arnaout is
signaling that the stock could be worth considerably more if crypto revenues
were already in the mix.XTB secured a MiCA
license in Cyprus in December 2025, sidestepping the Polish legislative impasse by routing its spot crypto
ambitions through its Cypriot entity. The plan is to test the product there
before rolling it out across the EU. But it's a workaround, not a solution,
and Arnaout knows it. XTB had
previously written an open letter to Poland's president urging him to sign the
domestic crypto bill, warning that the absence of a local framework was pushing
Polish investors toward offshore platforms outside national supervision.Client Demand Is Already
There, Revenue Isn'tThe
commercial case for spot crypto at XTB isn't theoretical. Arnaout said that
every time something moves in the crypto market, XTB sees a surge in both new
client signups and activity from existing users , even though the company only
offers crypto CFDs, not actual digital assets. "Inflows
of new clients and the activity of existing clients is simply
record-breaking," he said, describing these moments as practically always
hitting new highs.That's the
second source of pain he described: watching high-intent crypto customers
arrive on the platform while being unable to offer them the product they
actually want. Competitors based in jurisdictions where MiCA has already been
implemented can offer spot crypto to Polish clients, creating what Arnaout
called an uneven playing field. "They have cryptocurrencies and offer
cryptocurrencies to their clients, and we cannot do this," he said.The
CFD-heavy revenue structure isn't just a diversification problem, it's a
volatility problem. As FinanceMagnates,com
reported in April 2025, CFD revenues accounted for over 97% of XTB's income in Q1 2025, with
the company's profitability tightly linked to market conditions. In flat or
range-bound markets, that model generates less. Arnaout acknowledged 2025 was
exactly that kind of year, roughly flat on most major indices from April
through September.Equities Could Also Chip
Away at CFD DominanceArnaout's
70% target isn't riding entirely on crypto. He also pointed to equities as a
growing contributor, particularly as XTB's client base continues to expand
rapidly.The broker
added 864,000 new accounts in 2025, roughly equivalent to its entire pre-2020
history of client acquisition compressed into a single year. As reported
earlier this month,
Arnaout is targeting at least 1.2 million new clients in 2026, with ambitions
to push toward 1.3 or 1.4 million. The logic is simple: a larger, more active
client base trading stocks and ETFs means more non-CFD revenue, even without
crypto.That shift
in client behavior is already visible. Only 7% of new
XTB clients in 2025 chose CFDs as their first transaction, down from 80% in 2019. The new
cohort is predominantly buying ETFs and stocks, lower-margin products but ones
that build a stickier, longer-term client relationship. Over 80% of new clients
in 2025 opened their first position in an ETF, an investment plan built on
ETFs, or equities.The revenue
math hasn't fully caught up with that behavioral shift yet. Equities and ETFs
don't currently generate enough per-user income to offset what CFDs bring in
during volatile periods. Spot crypto, with its higher margins and
round-the-clock trading, is the more obvious lever. Arnaout clearly sees it the
same way, which is why, for now, regulatory gridlock in Warsaw remains his most
pressing business problem.
This article was written by Damian Chmiel at www.financemagnates.com.
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