FinanceMagnets
Published on 2026-07-10 | 48 mins ago
Robert Kiyosaki's Gold Price Prediction Shows a 750% Surge, but My XAU/USD Chart Sees a Death Cross Forming
Gold traded
near $4,110 per ounce on Friday, July 10, 2026, down about 0.3% on the session
and coiling in a tightening range just above the $4,000 line it briefly lost in late June. Robert Kiyosaki wants you to look
past all of it. The author
of "Rich Dad Poor Dad" still sees gold (XAU/USD) at $35,000 an ounce, a climb of more than
750% from here, and he repeated the call at the end of June while the metal was
still falling. My gold price prediction runs the other way on the timeframe
that actually trades, because the chart is closing on its first death cross
since 2023.The
distance between those two views is the whole story. Kiyosaki is describing a
five-year, collapse-driven repricing, while my chart is describing the next few
weeks, and the two point in opposite directions. Both can hold at once, which
is exactly why the headline number is worth taking apart.Follow
me on X for real-time gold market analysis: @ChmielDkKiyosaki Doubles Down on
Gold Price, Then BlinksWhen I
first put Kiyosaki's $35,000 target under the gold chart in March, spot sat near $4,493 and
the call implied a roughly 680% gain. Gold has since dropped to $4,110, so the
same target now implies about 751%, more than eight times the current price.
The forecast did not get bigger. The price got smaller.Kiyosaki
has not softened it. On June 27 he claimed he had picked the turn, noting gold
had risen since he bought and floating a bull run toward $35,000 if macro
strategist Jim Rickards proves right, which he said he believes. He also nudged
followers toward technical analysis as the study worth learning.Yay: I may have picked the turnin price of gold.Gold up $62 since I purchased yesterday. Possibly on a bull run to $35k if Jim Rickards is correct…. and I think he is. LESSON: An important study for you to increase your financial education is Technical Analysis,how…— Robert Kiyosaki (@theRealKiyosaki) June 27, 2026Two days
later the tone flipped. On June 29 he wrote, "I was wrong. Gold still
crashing!" then restated that he still expects $35,000 in about five
years, reminding readers that profits are made on the buy, not the sell.I was wrong. Gold still crashing!Thats real life. RD Lesson: Profuts are made when you buy…. Not when you sell.I still believe gold will be $35 k in about 5-years.But that is real life: All markets go up and down.Another RD lesson: The richest investors invest for…— Robert Kiyosaki (@theRealKiyosaki) June 29, 2026The
concession matters more than the target. A forecaster who admits the timing is
off is telling you the near term belongs to the chart, not the thesis.The Death Cross He Isn't
ChartingHere is
what my chart shows. Gold has spent the past month consolidating just over
$4,000, the psychological level that lines up with the March lows to form the
floor of the range. Resistance
runs from roughly $4,200 up into the $4,300 to $4,400 band, and inside that
band sit the two moving averages every trend trader watches. They are
converging on a death cross, the first since 2023, and price is already trading
below both of them rather than testing them from above.In fifteen
years charting metals, a decade of them at FinanceMagnates.com, I have learned
that the loudest long-term calls and the daily chart rarely run on the same
clock. A death cross is a real signal, not a verdict. The last one, back in
2023, reversed within weeks, a caveat I flagged when the setup first formed in late June. What tips the
odds bearish this time is the position of price beneath both lines, not above
them.A falling
trend line off the March highs adds a second wall. It now cuts across near
$4,200 and has rejected every rally since the record, forcing lower highs for
four straight months. Stack that descending line on the flat $4,000 floor and
the shape is a descending triangle, a pattern that narrows until price is
squeezed out of it. With the primary trend already down, the break more often
comes through the floor than the ceiling.Lose $4,000
on a daily close and the math changes quickly. My downside target stays $3,440,
the 100% Fibonacci extension of the 2025 advance and roughly the lowest gold
would have traded since August 2025. That level sits about 16% under spot and
close to 40% below January's $5,595 record. A daily close back above the $4,300
to $4,400 band would neutralize the entire setup and put the $5,400 record zone
back into the conversation.Where This Gold Price
Prediction Sits Against Wall StreetGold is
heavy for reasons that have nothing to do with Kiyosaki's bubble thesis. Real
Treasury yields remain elevated, the Federal Reserve has trimmed its 2026
rate-cut plans to a single move, and a firm dollar keeps capping bounces before
they mature. Those are the same forces I have tracked through this correction,
and none of them has flipped.Wall Street
still sits far below $35,000 and well above spot. Goldman Sachs holds $5,400 for year-end and JPMorgan's base
case runs near $5,000, targets I read as credible only once gold reclaims
$4,300. The World Gold Council's bear case flags a 5% to 20% drop if
reflation takes hold, which fits my chart far better than any of the bull
numbers right now. The full institutional range is wide, yet it clusters two to
three thousand dollars under Kiyosaki's figure.So does the
$35,000 call belong in the bin? Not really, because central banks bought 244
net tonnes in the first quarter of 2026, a structural bid that keeps gold's
direction higher over years even while the daily tape bleeds. Kiyosaki's
magnitude is the outlier, not his direction, and his June reversal is the tell
that the long-horizon case and the daily chart run on different clocks. I have
tracked this target since the March analysis where I first weighed it, with the
rest of my gold work on my analyst page.FAQ: Gold Price PredictionWhy Does Robert Kiyosaki
Predict Gold at $35,000?Kiyosaki
ties his gold price prediction to a systemic breakdown in fiat currencies, not
to ordinary supply and demand. He argues that debt, deficits, and money
printing will eventually pop what he calls the everything bubble, and that gold
reprices violently once it does. The $35,000 figure is conditional on that
collapse, which is why he frames it in years rather than months.How Much Would Gold Have
to Rise to Reach $35,000?From
Friday's price near $4,110 per ounce, gold would need to gain about 751%, more
than eight times its current value, to reach Kiyosaki's target. Put another
way, the metal would have to add almost $31,000 an ounce. No major bank
forecast comes close, since the highest year-end 2026 targets on Wall Street
sit near $6,000, a small fraction of that climb.Is a Death Cross a
Reliable Sell Signal for Gold?Not on its
own. A death cross, where the 50-day average falls below the 200-day, confirms
that momentum has turned, but it lags price and can misfire. Gold's last death
cross in 2023 reversed within weeks. What makes the current signal more serious
is that price already trades below both averages and under a falling trend line
drawn from the March highs.How Low Can Gold Go if
$4,000 Breaks?A daily
close below $4,000 would open my primary downside target of $3,440, the 100%
Fibonacci extension of the 2025 rally and roughly the lowest gold has traded
since August 2025. That is about 16% under Friday's price and close to 40%
below January's record high near $5,595. A reclaim of $4,300 to $4,400 would
cancel the bearish setup.Should Investors Trust
Kiyosaki's Track Record on Gold?His calls
tend to be directionally right but poorly timed. He correctly flagged higher
gold and silver over the years, yet his price targets have often arrived late
or short of the level promised. His late-June admission that he was early fits
that pattern. Treat the $35,000 number as a long-horizon scenario rather than a
dated forecast, and size any position accordingly.
This article was written by Damian Chmiel at www.financemagnates.com.
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